RE: The Curation Trail Trap
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The entire curation system on Hive when you think about it makes very little sense and is just too ridiculous for words. It's all about (auto) upvoting posts that get close to reaching the linear reward curve (big accounts) since your upvotes are literally worth more on those and/or upvoting posts where you know more votes will come in later on. Also giving full votes tends to bring about higher curation rewards.
Doing anything else will pretty much kill your curation rewards. I recently restructured my own auto-upvotes pretty much removing all support to really small guys and my yearly curation appreciation is increasing from 7%-8% to 12%-14%.
If anything, the new system with non-linear post rewards does succeed in preventing abuse but it conveniently made it so that more rewards go to the big guys and the ones who start out are without chance unless they get picked up by the curation groups.
The reward curve indeed profits the big accounts. The best curation rewards can be reached if you vote at 4.5 minutes and if the post sums up above 20 USD at payout day. It's not surprising when you think that these changes were implemented by the witnesses...
Not to talk about the free downvotes which allow the big accounts to make rewards flow back into the reward pool which conveniently gets redistributed most to the highest rewarded posts. Guess who those posts belong to :-)
I really like the potential of Hive, but right now as an investment it just sucks and there is no reason this will change anytime soon with the current system in place. I really hope things will evolve more toward a proof of stake algorithm with resource credits and advertisement revenue giving the tokens value.
The only solution in my eyes is to become big enough to be on the profiting side... lol...