Dumb Money Bought The Dip

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Bitcoin is back above $50K, the total market capitalization is currently sitting comfortably on $2.4 trillion and the Elon Musk FUD will probably be forgotten in less than a week, once we get back to the levels from where everything fell from.

Elon Musk has been the FUD creator with its nonsense tweets lately, but he hasn't sold anything though, he hasn't mentioned anything about willing to sell either, nor if he has bought his own created dip. I got to say he's a sneaky one.

Michael Saylor has indeed bought the deep, worth around $15 million of bitcoin and one could say that he somehow orchestrated this whole thing with Musk. Michael Saylor seems to be quite often buying the dip and he's definitely on the smart money side of investors. He's one of a kind...

Dumb money is buying crypto lately as well it seems. I met with a couple of friends this afternoon and one of them, not really a close friend of mine, who knew about Bitcoin and crypto since 2017 has just decided to buy some. He actually hasn't bought real life crypto but he calls himself investor in crypto.

buy-first-crypto.png

What he did was putting some money into Revolut and buy their crypto options if you will. They have the crypto section on their app where you can buy all sort of tokens, but you're not really buying actual crypto as you can't transfer any of it out of the app. It's more like sports bets the way I see it. Not your keys, not your funds. The idea is that this guy has managed to buy a dip of this bull market.

Funny, but he didn't felt like entering the market during the hype before the Tesla FUD. Well, he could have gotten into crypto since 2017 as well, but didn't see any value in it back then. Now he sees it, or at least the investing side of such assets and he's not the only one from that table that seemed interested.

Another friend of mine who was listening to the talks was somehow developing laser eyes as we were talking. I told him about BTC when it was $6,000. I offered him the technical support if he wishes to invest in crypto, as he had quite some money at hand that he spent on all sort of nonsense. He didn't listen at all back then. He needed confirmation and now he has it.

Bitcoin is at $50,000, some random guy sitting next to him was showing off his portfolio and how his account grew and that's what drives dumb money entering the market. They're not attracted towards such assets when there's blood on the streets or during the bear market, because they don't have the vision. They just react psychologically. Something gets triggered when there's hype around.

The first one I was writing about above seems to be having long term thinking as he doesn't mind HODLing for years if he has the chance to make a million dollars by just HODLing. I doubt you have any chance making that sum with a couple of grands, but you have to try and see.

This is a good sign though. For me such events are a confirmation that the bull market is in full swing and that we might not be that far away from the top. We're not there yet either, I haven't hard random people talking crypto on the streets, but there's some signs worth noticing.

I can't take any credit for luring any of them into crypto, but happy to see this revolution is gaining traction. If you were wondering on what has this guy put his money on, well it's LTC, ADA, BNT and a few others. He's been quite inspired imo and he might be lucky to have entered the market right on time. I know he hasn't bought real crypto, but that's probably the first step.

He has a Binance account that he created right there at the table and who knows, maybe he'll get into the real deal after all. Have a great weekend and see you to the next one.

Thanks for attention,
Adrian

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19 comments
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Your friends are lucky to have someone like you in their life. At least the ones that buy bitcoin now will probably 6X their value before the end of this bull cycle, so that's something.

Dumb money are always looking for quick scalps and I can't blame them. Most of them don't have any understanding of the system and just want to make a quick score.

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They're actually dumb money for now... :))
If they'd bought BTC back in 2019-2020 they could have been smart money. At least they get involved.

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(Edited)

Hopefully they will Hodl and one day look back when BTC is 100k and boast they bought it at 60k.

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That's a step in the right direction. Happy they've taken the decision. Now's the right time to really get into the market.

Taking the good with the bad, you know.

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Definitely. They haven't bought real crypto though, just some replicas on Revolut.

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REVOLUT IS DANGEROUS. I got my account suspended, I guess they suspected money laundering. A year after the account got suspended suddenly there was a (small) withdrawal from my credit card going to Revolut. What the hell was going on? The customer representatives only asked lots of KYC questions and asked for tons of documentation ... I spent so much time trying to dig up all kind of documents they asked for ... just to finally hear "please report the transaction as fraudulent to your credit card issuer and ask for a chargeback". But my account still wasn't opened. One more year and they closed my account permanently, and I never got the balance back.

What's really bad is that they are ONLY accessible through the telephone, and there is NO WAY I can get any support or even a transaction listing out from them when the account was closed.

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I've heard similar stories. I'm not holding anything on it. Just using it when needed.

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How can you know that Musk hasn't sold a single Bitcoin? I guess he (personally) can buy or sell crypto currency anytime without anyone learning about it, and he is in the position to manipulate the market is to publish some tweet, and he is not ashamed of doing it. It is a dangerous combination.

His activity makes so little sense (like, first chilling bitcoin through Tesla, making the bitcoin price rise towards the moon, chilling Doge a lot, and then short time later (through Tesla) telling that ... "nah, bitcoin is bad for the environment, we'll skip the idea of taking payment in bitcoin. Perhaps we'll support some other crypto currency in the future that isn't so bad for the environment", followed by a tweet that lifted dogecoin with 16%.

Dogecoin has exactly the same problems as Bitcoin when it comes to the environment. The energy level spent on Doge is, just like with bitcoin, roughly proportional to the value of the coin. Chains like the Hive blockchain does not have that problem as no PoW is done (Well, there is some energy expenditure with Hive too ... but at least not spent racing to find a good hash value).

I'm a big fan of Hanlon's razor - never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity. The problem with that is that Musk is not stupid, hence I find it likely that he has a financial motivation for publishing his market manipulating tweets. And even if that's not his motivation for manipulating the market, it would be stupid of him not to buy or sell some before publishing tweets. Musk is not stupid, and Musk is an expert on earning money.

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This reminds me of that famous meme of two lines. One selling Bitcoin for $3900 and one selling Bitcoin for $60,000, and the big line was at the seller for 60k. Investors frequently don’t due their own research and rely on external validation such as price increase or celebrity buy in...

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What can we do? They have to learn the hard way. Some will and will stay. Others will lose a lot selling at the bottom and then call crypto a scam. Until the next bull run FOMO.

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(Edited)

I got some Nephews who were talking about Bitcoin so I decide to give them each 1000 Dogecoin to start. We'll see what happens in a few weeks. Told them there are better Cryptos than Bitcoin, look for them.
"So, Happy Birthday boys, don't lose it all in one dip!"

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