Jupiler League Week 29 Saturday Previews
A little bump on the road yesterday in the match between Charleroi and Genk dropping around 1 unit in total with pretty much every bet going wrong. I'm back to break-even on the week but plenty more matches to have a go at starting today around 16:15. Time to take a closer look at the 3 matches that will be played...
Cercle Brugge vs Waasland
This is an important relegation battle with 2 teams that have not lost in their last 2 matches. Looking at how exactly they performed, Cercel was the better team against the other team in the relegation fight Moeskroen and never really got in trouble after getting 0-1 ahead. In the match at home, they played really defensive and deserved a 2-0 win. In the home match before against Mechelen, they were quite unlucky to lose 0-1 behind late in the match. Overall they have put up rather defensive performances under their new coach and I doubt they will start playing wide-open today knowing that they are ahead of Waasland. The visitors got a late goal against turning golden 3 points into 1 in a match where it can't be said that they impressed. Their coach has been playing rather offensive line-ups but they remain to have a hard time scoring due to lack of player quality and form. Cercle deserves to be the favorite in this match but I wouldn't go as far as saying it should be a -0.75 line. Fear might win out over courage especially early on in the match and a lack of offensive quality from both sides might make the first goal the hardest. Once that is scored, things might blow right open though. I'm willing to take a gamble on this match starting rather nervous with a lack in quality and more focus on making sure not to get a goal against taking a small trading position on 1st Half Under 1 @ 2.10. Cercle might be an option in-game if odds get to a point where they are acceptable or in case they fall behind and show a good reaction.Oostende vs KV Mechelen
This is a match between 2 revelations of the season who have been bringing a good quality of play. Oostende had to play without Nsakala last weekend playing 1-1 away against Eupen in a rather disappointing match but they won deserved against Stvv at home the match before. Mechelen also played a disappointing match at home against AA Gent also with a 1-1 result and won away against Beerschot in a quite open match. Both teams don't have much to lose in this match and I fully expect them to play their own style willing to go forward. Mechelen will be without key player Van Damme again. I did take a small bet on Over 2.75 @ 2.080 and will be looking to possibly add some on the 1H over if the match indeed is played with forward intentions since both have a good 1H goal ratio. I also took a small position on Over 10 Corners @ 2.04 and also a bit on Over 11 Corners @ 2.78. With Oostende having 2 out of their last 3 home matches see at least 11 corners and Mechelen having their 4 last away matches with at least 11 corners. I will also be looking to add more there. Oostende is the best home 1H team and I do once against expect them to start best taking a small position on Oostende 1st Half +0 @ 1.826. Should be a fun match and I'm looking forward to more betting action!Kortrijk vs Zulte-Waregem
Zulte-Waregem has been playing some good matches af of late creeping up to 7th position only 3 points away from a playoff 1 spot. Kortrijk was the first team who managed to win away against Anderlecht mostly because Anderlecht played really poorly. Basically this is a match between 2 teams in good form that have nothing to lose. I have been rather cautious on betting Zulte-Waregem but could not resist taking a small position on Zulte-Waregem +0.5 @ 1.890 which seems just a bit too might for them right now. Both teams have a rather high 2H ratio and especially Zulte remains a team that is willing to take a lot of risks late in a match when needed. The over is also certainly and I went ahead taking a tiny position on Over 3.5 @ 2.661 hoping to possibly take more in-game. Should be another interesting match!Pre-Game Preview Bets I continue to share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts. Most of them are smaller bets or trading positions and some of them I took early in the week and might not have the exact same odds available. These bets should just be seen as info and not as something to blindly follow. Record on them so far this season is 193 Bets | +13.82% ROI on Flat Unit bets (See Results) Bigger pre-game bets which are rare these days I also tend to take extra on those in BTC.
Season 2020-2021 BTC Bets
Date | Bet | mBTC | Odds | Result | Betslip |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/01/2021 | Standard vs Waasland BTS | 2.5 | 1.86 | +2.15 | sportbet.one |
01/11/2020 | Antwerp -0.5 | 10 | 3.50 | -10 | sportbet.one |
03/10/2020 | OHL vs Zulte 1H Under 1.25 | 10 | 2.010 | +5.005 | sportbet.one |
Other Bookies, Projects & Platforms I used...
Month | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit BTC | ROI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan 2020 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0100 | +0.01271 | +127% |
Dec 2019 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0200 | -0.002000 | -100% |
Nov 2019 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0200 | -0.001800 | -9.00% |
Oct 2019 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.0400 | -0.020800 | -52.00% |
Sep 2019 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0400 | +0.028890 | +72.22% |
Aug 2019 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.1000 | +0.033860 | +33.86% |
July 2019 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0200 | +0.018000 | +90.0% |
Jun 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0000 | +0.000000 | +0.00% |
May 2019 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0.0700 | -0.050000 | -71.43% |
Apr 2019 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.0500 | +0.024170 | +48.34% |
Mar 2019 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.0700 | +0.004120 | +5.89% |
Feb 2019 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.060 | +0.023210 | +23.21% |
Jan 2019 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0.100 | -0.079640 | -79.64% |
Dec 2018 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0.150 | -0.058880 | -39.25% |
Nov 2018 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0.170 | -0.032170 | -18.92% |
Oct 2018 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0.150 | -0.028290 | -18.86% |
Sep 2018 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0.140 | +0.141820 | +101,3% |
Aug 2018 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.080 | +0.045470 | +56.84% |
Jul 2018 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0.135 | +0.033590 | +24.88% |
Jun 2018 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0.150 | +0.018200 | +12.13% |
May 2018 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.020 | +0.023440 | +117% |
Feb 2018 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0.091 | -0.036293 | -39,88% |
Jan 2018 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.147 | +0.005800 | +3.95% |
Dec 2017 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0.148 | +0.010422 | +7.04% |
Nov 2017 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0.210 | -0.008030 | -3.82% |
Oct 2017 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.210 | +0.003080 | +1.46% |
Sep 2017 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.090 | +0.001440 | +1.60% |
Total | 266 | 124 | 126 | 16 | 2.491 | +0.092319 | +3.71% |
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